MyDD :: WY-AL: Polls?

WY-AL: Polls?

by Tom, Tue Oct 17, 2006 at 12:52:05 AM EST

Anybody have a poll on this race? Politics1.com shows polls from the Casper Star-Tribune and Mason-Dixon for the gov and Senate races, but nothing on the House race, which I've heard may be closer than we thought. The polls:

Senate
Thomas (R) 67%
Groutage (D) 26%

Governor
Freudenthal (D) 63%
Hunkins (R) 30%

But nothing on the House race. Anybody know?

New poll is out: Trauner trails 44-37. Poll has a margin of error of +/- 4%, so we're within the MoE.

Tags: Wyoming, WY-AL, Gary Trauner (all tags)

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Re: WY-AL: Polls? (none / 0)

I heard it comes out tommorrow.

by Democraticavenger on Tue Oct 17, 2006 at 12:59:23 AM EST

Re: WY-AL: Polls? (none / 0)

Also if I recall correctly Cubin had Sherwoodeeque Primary Nummbers

by Democraticavenger on Tue Oct 17, 2006 at 12:59:50 AM EST

Re: WY-AL: Polls? (none / 0)

Makes sense. The only poll I've seen in this race was taken in April and Cubin only led 47%-43%. I just thought it was odd that they would release polls for the other two races and not this one.

Cubin only won like 60 percent in the primary and didn't carry any major population centers (as major population centers go in Wyoming, anyway.) Trauner currently leads in cash on hand.

by Tom on Tue Oct 17, 2006 at 01:06:38 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Poll is up (none / 0)

Casper Star-Tribune Poll

625 RV's Oct. 9-12 MoE +/- 4%

Cubin (R) 44
Trauner (D) 37
Rankin (Lib) 4

Interesting facts from the poll:
-Bad news: About 75 percent of the undecideds are registered Republicans. Good news: Only 13 percent of the undecideds have a favorable view of Cubin, with 39 percent unfavorable.
-Overall, Cubin's favorable/unfavorable scores are 43/45, with 11 percent neutral. For Trauner, it's 33 percent favorable, 18 percent unfavorable, 25 percent neutral, 24 percent didn't know who he was.
-Cubin got only 60 percent of Republicans and 34 percent of independents. Usually, getting 60 percent of your party's voters is not a successful way to get reelected.

I don't know what to think. There are still a lot of undecideds in this race, and CW says they'll break for Trauner, but he is a Democrat in Wyoming, and many of those undecideds are Republicans. From the looks of it, many of the undecideds have already made up their minds against Cubin, but can they stomach voting for two Dems (Trauner and Freudenthal) in the same year?

Not sure who the Libertarian candidate hurts more, Cubin or Trauner.

by Tom on Tue Oct 17, 2006 at 08:13:19 AM EST

Re: Poll is up (none / 0)

Maybe Freudenthal could show them that their stomach won't hurt if they vote for a Democrat?

Thanks for the info. If you diary this I'll recommend.

by adamterando on Tue Oct 17, 2006 at 09:42:28 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Poll is up (none / 0)

Actually, if you just update this diary, I'll recommend.

by adamterando on Tue Oct 17, 2006 at 09:42:53 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Poll is up (none / 0)

Done.

by Tom on Tue Oct 17, 2006 at 09:57:13 AM EST
[ Parent ]